What lies ahead in 2024 US presidential election | Lo que nos espera en las elecciones presidenciales estadounidenses de 2024

After the midterms, there are lingering concerns about what to anticipate in 2024. In areas like Ohio, Florida, and Iowa that successfully switched to the red after the 2016 presidential election, Trump’s support remained strong. Biden, on the other hand, avoided a well-anticipated defeat in the midterm elections, despite an increasing negative sentiment toward him on matters ranging from inflation and the departure of soldiers from Afghanistan to his physical health since last year, as Democrats took full control of the Senate. This bodes well for Biden’s 2024 presidential bid as white House officials and senior Democrats believe the party’s better-than-expected fall has relieved considerable pressure on Joe Biden to act quickly on a reelection bid.

Traducción al inglés: Tras las midterms, persiste la inquietud sobre qué anticipar en 2024. En zonas como Ohio, Florida y Iowa, que lograron pasarse al rojo tras las presidenciales de 2016, el apoyo a Trump se mantuvo firme. Biden, por su parte, evitó una esperada derrota en las elecciones de mitad de mandato, a pesar del creciente sentimiento negativo hacia él en asuntos que van desde la inflación y la salida de soldados de Afganistán hasta su salud física desde el año pasado, cuando los demócratas se hicieron con el control total del Senado. Esto es un buen augurio para la candidatura presidencial de Biden en 2024, ya que funcionarios de la Casa Blanca y altos cargos demócratas creen que la caída del partido, mejor de lo esperado, ha aliviado considerablemente la presión sobre Joe Biden para que actúe con rapidez en una candidatura a la reelección.

According to a recent CNBC poll, 61% of respondents feel Trump should not run for president, compared to 30% who do. And only 19% favor Biden’s bid for a second term, while 70% think he shouldn’t. If Biden is the nominee, it is predicted that Democrats will likely back him, leaving the republicans to decide between Trump and DeSantis. The survey indicated that 47% of those who believe Biden should not run say age is a key reason, compared to just 8% who say age is a major reason they don’t support another run for Trump, who is one of the most significant factors among voters who rejected to vote for Biden compared to Trump.

Traducción al inglés: Según una encuesta reciente de la CNBC, el 61% de los encuestados cree que Trump no debería presentarse a la presidencia, frente al 30% que sí lo cree. Y sólo el 19% está a favor de que Biden opte a un segundo mandato, mientras que el 70% cree que no debería hacerlo. Si Biden es el nominado, se prevé que los demócratas probablemente le respalden, dejando a los republicanos decidir entre Trump y DeSantis. La encuesta indica que el 47% de los que creen que Biden no debería presentarse dicen que la edad es una razón clave, frente a sólo el 8% que dicen que la edad es una razón importante por la que no apoyan otra candidatura de Trump, que es uno de los factores más significativos entre los votantes que rechazaron votar a Biden en comparación con Trump.

Undoubtedly, Ron DeSantis seems to have won the mid-term elections by a wide margin. The 44-year-old governor of Florida won his state with the largest margin of victory in the previous 40 years. The fact that he defeated his rival by more than 1.5 million votes demonstrates the ardent support that the Harvard and Yale educated guy possesses. Additionally, Ron DeSantis has been gaining support from the Republican Party as a whole, where many are starting to consider him as their best chance to win the presidency again, particularly in light of the sentences imposed on Trump's enterprises.

Numerous members of each politician's party, including 37% of Republicans who don't want Trump to run, 61% of independents, and 88% of Democrats, prefer that their names not appear on the ballot. Along with 66% of independents, 86% of Republicans, and 57% of Democrats, Biden's opponents believe he shouldn't run for government in 2024.

Meanwhile, a recent poll suggests that having Kamala Harris as Joe Biden's running mate hasn't reduced concerns about his age. Less than 1/3 of Americans believe she is capable of being the president, almost half of them think she isn't and 20% feel confused. Out of all the independent people, 57% think Harris is not ready for something while only 21% think she is ready.

Traducción al inglés: Sin duda, Ron DeSantis parece haber ganado las elecciones de mitad de mandato por un amplio margen. El gobernador de Florida, de 44 años, ganó en su estado con el mayor margen de victoria de los últimos 40 años. El hecho de que derrotara a su rival por más de un millón y medio de votos demuestra el ardiente apoyo que posee este hombre educado en Harvard y Yale. Además, Ron DeSantis ha ido ganando el apoyo del Partido Republicano en su conjunto, donde muchos empiezan a considerarlo como su mejor oportunidad para volver a ganar la presidencia, sobre todo a la luz de las condenas impuestas a las empresas de Trump.

Numerosos miembros de cada partido político, entre ellos el 37% de los republicanos que no quieren que Trump se presente, el 61% de los independientes y el 88% de los demócratas, prefieren que su nombre no aparezca en la papeleta. Junto con el 66% de los independientes, el 86% de los republicanos y el 57% de los demócratas, los oponentes de Biden creen que no debería presentarse a las elecciones de 2024.

Mientras tanto, una encuesta reciente sugiere que tener a Kamala Harris como compañera de fórmula de Joe Biden no ha reducido las preocupaciones sobre su edad. Menos de un tercio de los estadounidenses cree que está cualificada para ser presidenta, casi la mitad piensa que no lo está y un 20% está confundido. De todos los independientes, el 57% piensa que Harris no está capacitada para algo, mientras que sólo el 21% piensa que sí lo está.

Even if the current odds appear to be in DeSantis' favor, that doesn't mean that Trumpism won't end abruptly. Many would concur that his legal woes and the dismal mid-term election results have further dented his chances of running for president in 2024. As a result, many experts have suggested that the Donald Trump era is coming to an end. Few political observers, such as Robert Pawlicki, believe otherwise. The deep loyalty, in his opinion, had just begun. The January 6th Congressional Committee serves as an illustration of how it had little to no impact on the 45th president's supporters. His fan base has stayed solid, and he believes that his captivated and conditioned fans will not abandon him anytime soon.

Younger voters will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the elections, and as they tend to lean Democrat, this could work in Joe Biden's advantage as he runs for re-election. We have planned out two conceivable scenarios for the Biden-Trump and Biden-DeSantis runs after interviewing various political experts.

Traducción al inglés:

Aunque las probabilidades actuales parecen estar a favor de DeSantis, eso no significa que el trumpismo no termine abruptamente. Muchos estarían de acuerdo en que sus problemas legales y los pésimos resultados de las elecciones de mitad de mandato han mermado aún más sus posibilidades de presentarse a la presidencia en 2024. Como resultado, muchos expertos han sugerido que la era de Donald Trump está llegando a su fin. Pocos observadores políticos, como Robert Pawlicki, creen lo contrario. La lealtad profunda, en su opinión, no ha hecho más que empezar. El Comité del Congreso del 6 de enero sirve como ilustración de cómo tuvo poco o ningún impacto en los partidarios del 45º presidente. Su base de seguidores se ha mantenido sólida, y él cree que sus cautivados y condicionados seguidores no le abandonarán pronto.

Los votantes más jóvenes tendrán sin duda un impacto significativo en las elecciones, y como tienden a inclinarse por los demócratas, esto podría jugar a favor de Joe Biden en su carrera hacia la reelección. Hemos planeado dos escenarios concebibles para las carreras Biden-Trump y Biden-DeSantis después de entrevistar a varios expertos políticos.

Biden Vs Trump

Biden-DeSantis

In addition to the presidential election in 2024, there will be a Senate election. According to recent reports, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's decision to leave the Democratic Party has altered the Arizona Senate campaign of 2024, which may provide new challenges for Democrats hoping to retain control of the seat in two years. With these unexpected Pandora Boxes, it is still too early to remark on politics, as uncertainty looms ahead. 2024 will undoubtedly be an intriguing year in the political environment. There could be new contenders running for president, resulting in more heated rivalry for votes. Both sides will have to put in a lot of effort in the background.

Traducción al inglés:

Además de las elecciones presidenciales de 2024, habrá elecciones al Senado. Según informes recientes, la decisión de la senadora Kyrsten Sinema de abandonar el Partido Demócrata ha alterado la campaña al Senado por Arizona en 2024, lo que puede plantear nuevos retos a los demócratas que aspiran a mantener el control del escaño dentro de dos años. Con estas inesperadas cajas de Pandora, aún es pronto para hacer comentarios sobre política, ya que la incertidumbre se cierne sobre el futuro. 2024 será sin duda un año intrigante en el entorno político. Podría haber nuevos aspirantes a la presidencia, lo que daría lugar a una rivalidad más acalorada por los votos. Ambos bandos tendrán que esforzarse mucho en un segundo plano.

Written by Malena Lopez.  Follow me at https://malenalopez100.tumblr.com/

Despite the election setback, Trump's hold on the Republican Party is far from lost | Pese al revés electoral, el control de Trump sobre el Partido Republicano está lejos de perderse

With many votes still to be counted in key contests, party control of Congress - particularly the Senate - remains uncertain following last Tuesday's congressional elections.

Traducción al inglés: Con muchos votos aún por contar en contiendas clave, el control partidista del Congreso -en particular del Senado- sigue siendo incierto tras las elecciones legislativas del pasado martes.

 

Democrats succeeded in reversing historical trends and, for the moment, protected American democracy from Trump and his party's worst excesses. While all the votes have yet to be tallied, it appears Democrats will keep control of the Senate and may be able to maintain their narrow majority in the House. Such a scenario was virtually unthinkable at the start of the year. There were not only historical headwinds for Democrats, but rising inflation, a teetering economy, and an unpopular incumbent president as well. In November, these kinds of political dynamics usually portend a Republican-wave victory. Numerous Republican officials across the country blamed Trump for their party's disappointing results in Tuesday's elections. 

Traducción al inglés: Los demócratas lograron invertir las tendencias históricas y, por el momento, protegieron a la democracia estadounidense de Trump y de los peores excesos de su partido. Aunque aún no se han contabilizado todos los votos, parece que los demócratas mantendrán el control del Senado y podrían conservar su estrecha mayoría en la Cámara de Representantes. Este escenario era prácticamente impensable a principios de año. No sólo había vientos en contra históricos para los demócratas, sino también una inflación creciente, una economía tambaleante y un presidente en funciones impopular. En noviembre, este tipo de dinámica política suele presagiar una victoria republicana. Numerosos cargos republicanos de todo el país culparon a Trump de los decepcionantes resultados de su partido en las elecciones del martes. 

Mid-Term Senate Race Results

In Georgia, the incumbent senator Raphael Warnock will face Republican Herschel Walker in a runoff election in December after neither candidate received more than 50% of the vote. So, after runoff elections in 2020 that gave the Senate majority to Democrats and elected Warnock and Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA), Georgia could once more determine control of the chamber. Over the next two weeks, the state should expect a massive bombardment of advertising and campaigning. Democrats will probably keep trying to take advantage of problems surrounding Walker's past romances and the fact that, despite campaign promises to the contrary, he had paid for abortions.  

Traducción al inglés: En Georgia, el senador en funciones Raphael Warnock se enfrentará al republicano Herschel Walker en una segunda vuelta electoral en diciembre, después de que ninguno de los candidatos obtuviera más del 50% de los votos. Así, tras las elecciones de segunda vuelta de 2020 que dieron la mayoría del Senado a los demócratas y eligieron a Warnock y al senador Jon Ossoff (D-GA), Georgia podría volver a determinar el control de la cámara. Durante las próximas dos semanas, el estado debe esperar un bombardeo masivo de publicidad y campaña. Los demócratas probablemente seguirán intentando sacar partido de los problemas que rodean los romances pasados de Walker y el hecho de que, a pesar de las promesas de campaña en sentido contrario, había pagado abortos.  

In Nevada, Senator Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican Adam Laxalt in a tight battle to give the party the 50 seats it needs for a majority, regardless of the results of a runoff election in Georgia later this month. Republicans, who were hoping for a late "red wave" to propel them to a majority of at least a few seats in the Senate, where the vote has been evenly split for the past two years, are also extremely disappointed. 

Traducción al inglés: En Nevada, la senadora Catherine Cortez Masto derrotó al republicano Adam Laxalt en una reñida batalla para dar al partido los 50 escaños que necesita para la mayoría, independientemente de los resultados de una segunda vuelta electoral en Georgia a finales de este mes. Los republicanos, que esperaban una "ola roja" tardía que les impulsara a una mayoría de al menos unos cuantos escaños en el Senado, donde el voto ha estado dividido por igual durante los dos últimos años, también están muy decepcionados. 

In Arizona, ballot counting is still witnessing for the tight governor chamber race between Katie Hobbs and Kari Lake. Mark Kelly surfaced as the winner of the Arizona Senate race, defeating Blake Masters, a Democratic backed by Trump. Meanwhile, law enforcement officers remained on high alert for implicit demurrers, with fences and security fencing erected around the Maricopa County choices department, where dozens of officers are working 18- hour days to corroborate outstanding ballots and tabulate votes.  

Traducción al inglés: En Arizona, todavía se está realizando el recuento de votos para la reñida carrera a la cámara de gobernador entre Katie Hobbs y Kari Lake. Mark Kelly se perfiló como el ganador de la carrera al Senado por Arizona, derrotando a Blake Masters, un demócrata respaldado por Trump. Mientras tanto, las fuerzas del orden se mantuvieron en alerta máxima ante la posibilidad de recusaciones implícitas, con vallas y cercas de seguridad erigidas alrededor del departamento de elecciones del condado de Maricopa, donde decenas de agentes trabajan jornadas de 18 horas para corroborar las papeletas pendientes y tabular los votos.  

In Pennsylvania, Democratic candidate John Fetterman defeated Republican Mehmet Oz to flip the Republican-held open seat in Pennsylvania. He’ll replace retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey. Early in the campaign, Fetterman suffered a stroke, and Oz appeared to close the gap as the campaign wound down. In part, Fetterman was able to win on Tuesday thanks to the strength of Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro at the top of the ticket. After it became clear a red wave wasn't going to materialize, Republicans' long-shot opportunities that had been in play quickly slipped away Tuesday night.

Traducción al inglés:  En Pensilvania, el candidato demócrata John Fetterman derrotó al republicano Mehmet Oz para conseguir el escaño vacante en manos de los republicanos en Pensilvania. Sustituirá al senador republicano Pat Toomey, que se jubila. Al principio de la campaña, Fetterman sufrió un derrame cerebral, y Oz pareció recortar distancias a medida que se acercaba el final de la campaña. En parte, Fetterman pudo ganar el martes gracias a la fuerza del candidato demócrata a gobernador Josh Shapiro al frente de la candidatura. Cuando quedó claro que la ola roja no iba a materializarse, las oportunidades de los republicanos que habían estado en juego se esfumaron rápidamente el martes por la noche.

Trump campaigning for Ron Desantis

The expected conclusion of this election would raise the likelihood that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who easily defeated his Democratic opponent on Tuesday, decides to run against Trump for the 2024 presidential nomination. Trump undoubtedly lost the 2022 presidential race, but his control over the Republican Party is far from gone. Winning the Georgia election is important to Trump, and it is rumored that he will hold a rally to campaign for Herschel Walker before the next run-off election on December 6th.  

Traducción al inglés: La esperada conclusión de estas elecciones aumentaría la probabilidad de que el gobernador de Florida, Ron DeSantis, que derrotó fácilmente a su oponente demócrata el martes, decida competir contra Trump por la candidatura presidencial de 2024. Trump perdió sin duda la carrera presidencial de 2022, pero su control sobre el Partido Republicano está lejos de desaparecer. Ganar las elecciones de Georgia es importante para Trump, y se rumorea que celebrará un mitin para hacer campaña por Herschel Walker antes de la próxima segunda vuelta, el 6 de diciembre.  

Written by Malena Lopez.  Contact me at malenalopez@gmail.com  or follow me at https://malenalopez100.tumblr.com/

Trump to hold a rally in Youngstown, Ohio

Donald Trump, the 42nd president of the United States of America, will hold a rally in Youngstown, Ohio next Saturday, Sept. 17.

This will be fun. Come and hang with me and the other candidates fighting to take back our country. pic.twitter.com/5R0USt7C3Z

— J.D. Vance (@JDVance1) September 6, 2022

 

He is expected to deliver remarks in support of U.S. Senate candidate J.D. Vance. Tickets can be registered here.

An Emerson poll found Republican J.D. Vance to be leading the Democrat Tim Ryan by three points in the US Senate race, and Republican Mike DeWine to be leading his Democrat opponent Nan Whaley by 16 points. The campaign trail has been a tough slog for Vance lately, while Ryan has been pitching himself as a moderate populist who can appeal to Trump voters. The race has become so important to Republicans that Mitch McConnell's super PAC (R-Ky) announced last month it would inject millions of dollars into Ohio to support Vance. GOP pessimism around midterms exemplified by such a massive investment in a state they've dominated in recent years.

Trump to hold a rally in Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania on 3rd September 2022

The 45th President of the United States, Donald Trump will deliver remarks on Saturday, September 3 at 7 pm at the Mohegan Sun Arena in support of Doug Mastriano, Dr. Mehmet Oz, and the entire Pennsylvania Democratic ticket, according to a member of his team. Ticket registration is available here. 

                                                 

A recent poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies shows Fetterman leading Oz by nearly 20 points after a viral social media campaign portrays Oz as an out-of-touch carpetbagger from New Jersey with the Pennsylvanians.

 

As part of his Safer America Plan, Biden is also expected to give remarks at Wilkes University in Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania on 30th August.

Trump believes Kleefisch is not capable of defeating Tony Evers

At a rally in Waukesha, Wisconsin, Trump pointed at Michels and said, "Tim, you better win.". "He's going to win."

Trump also criticized Kleefisch, calling her the "handpicked candidate of the failed establishment, the RINOs." In Trump's opinion, Kleefisch is not up to the challenge of beating Tony Evers. "Tony Evers is almost incompetent, but he will win if he runs against Rebecca."

In what is expected to be one of the most hotly contested gubernatorial races in the country, the primary winner will face Evers, who is seeking a second term on Nov. 8. In addition to Ramthun, business owner Adam Fischer is running as well.

 A viral campaign advertisement yesterday claims Donald Trump is the "greatest ever threat to our Republic," according to Dick Cheney, whose daughter Liz Cheney is facing a tough reelection battle, as a poll shows she is trailing Hageman by more than 20 points. Approximately two-thirds of respondents said they disapproved of Cheney's job performance.

In Arizona, Kari Lake made a stunning victory over the Republican field which included Karrin Taylor Robson, a real estate developer and former regent who was backed by GOP Gov. Doug Ducey and former Vice President Mike Pence.

Arizona Governor GOP primary results

With the midterm election battle between Democrats, Republicans, and RINO republicans heating up, this will be an interesting space to follow.

Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Anchorage, Alaska on 9th July

 Trump is campaigning for the three Republican candidates, who are each competing against other Republicans in their respective races.

Ticket registration is available here. The rally will be held at the Alaska Airlines Center in Anchorage on Saturday, July 9.

In addition to supporting Gov. Mike Dunleavy's reelection campaign, he will also endorse Sarah Palin and Kelly Tshibaka in the race for U.S. Senate.

Mike Dunleavy delivers his annual State of the State address to the Alaska Legislature

Trump said late last year that Dunleavy had his “total and complete endorsement,” but Dunleavy did not endorse Murkowski, who has been critical of Trump and voted to convict him at his impeachment trial last year.

The sole insurrection-related charge against Trump was dismissed following the riot at the U.S. Capitol on Jan 6, 2021.

Tshibaka said: “It will be an honor to welcome President Trump to Alaska for what will be the largest political event in our state’s history.”

During a rally last week in Illinois, Trump spoke before thousands of enthusiastic supporters, signaling his endorsement of first-term Congresswoman Mary Miller as well as gubernatorial candidate Darren Bailey.

Trump called Miller “ultra-MAGA” and a “name to remember.” Many supporters said they would support Miller now that Trump has endorsed him.

According to NBC projections, Rep Mary Miller has defeated Rep. Rodney Davis in an Illinois House primary after redistricting pitted two incumbent Republicans against each other.

Following Roe v. Wade’s overturn, Rep. Mary Miller thanks Trump for ‘the historic victory for WHITE life’

 

In her message to the former president, Rep. Mary Miller expressed her appreciation for his role in the decision to overturn Roe v Wade. “President Trump, on behalf of all MAGA patriots in America, I would like to thank you for the historic victory for white life in the Supreme Court yesterday.”

In her speech, she says, “Our message needs to be loud and clear. Fire the frauds!" She added, "The RINOS will lie to our faces and do the Democrat’s bidding”

 

We are rejoicing to the utmost! Praise God for this victory for LIFE! pic.twitter.com/4D4O07xstG

— Rep. Mary Miller (@RepMaryMiller) June 24, 2022

 

In the meantime, the former president, Donald Trump  celebrates the overturning of Roe v. Wade " as he also  endorsed state Sen. Darren Bailey in the race to become Illinois' next governor Saturday, with the state's primary election just days away.

 

Calling him a fierce supporter of the second amendment and champion of religious liberty, Trump said Bailey has his total and complete endorsement. "He wants to cut your taxes, and he wants to lower your regulations down to the lowest in the country and make Illinois competitive again, because it is not competitive at all."

 

 

He continued to decry the  so called “rigged” election of 2020, by remarking that “They refuse to mention the election fraud and all of the irregularities,” he told the crowd. “There has never been anything like what took place in 2020. They used Covid to rig and steal an election.”