What lies ahead in 2024 US presidential election | Lo que nos espera en las elecciones presidenciales estadounidenses de 2024

After the midterms, there are lingering concerns about what to anticipate in 2024. In areas like Ohio, Florida, and Iowa that successfully switched to the red after the 2016 presidential election, Trump’s support remained strong. Biden, on the other hand, avoided a well-anticipated defeat in the midterm elections, despite an increasing negative sentiment toward him on matters ranging from inflation and the departure of soldiers from Afghanistan to his physical health since last year, as Democrats took full control of the Senate. This bodes well for Biden’s 2024 presidential bid as white House officials and senior Democrats believe the party’s better-than-expected fall has relieved considerable pressure on Joe Biden to act quickly on a reelection bid.

Traducción al inglés: Tras las midterms, persiste la inquietud sobre qué anticipar en 2024. En zonas como Ohio, Florida y Iowa, que lograron pasarse al rojo tras las presidenciales de 2016, el apoyo a Trump se mantuvo firme. Biden, por su parte, evitó una esperada derrota en las elecciones de mitad de mandato, a pesar del creciente sentimiento negativo hacia él en asuntos que van desde la inflación y la salida de soldados de Afganistán hasta su salud física desde el año pasado, cuando los demócratas se hicieron con el control total del Senado. Esto es un buen augurio para la candidatura presidencial de Biden en 2024, ya que funcionarios de la Casa Blanca y altos cargos demócratas creen que la caída del partido, mejor de lo esperado, ha aliviado considerablemente la presión sobre Joe Biden para que actúe con rapidez en una candidatura a la reelección.

According to a recent CNBC poll, 61% of respondents feel Trump should not run for president, compared to 30% who do. And only 19% favor Biden’s bid for a second term, while 70% think he shouldn’t. If Biden is the nominee, it is predicted that Democrats will likely back him, leaving the republicans to decide between Trump and DeSantis. The survey indicated that 47% of those who believe Biden should not run say age is a key reason, compared to just 8% who say age is a major reason they don’t support another run for Trump, who is one of the most significant factors among voters who rejected to vote for Biden compared to Trump.

Traducción al inglés: Según una encuesta reciente de la CNBC, el 61% de los encuestados cree que Trump no debería presentarse a la presidencia, frente al 30% que sí lo cree. Y sólo el 19% está a favor de que Biden opte a un segundo mandato, mientras que el 70% cree que no debería hacerlo. Si Biden es el nominado, se prevé que los demócratas probablemente le respalden, dejando a los republicanos decidir entre Trump y DeSantis. La encuesta indica que el 47% de los que creen que Biden no debería presentarse dicen que la edad es una razón clave, frente a sólo el 8% que dicen que la edad es una razón importante por la que no apoyan otra candidatura de Trump, que es uno de los factores más significativos entre los votantes que rechazaron votar a Biden en comparación con Trump.

Undoubtedly, Ron DeSantis seems to have won the mid-term elections by a wide margin. The 44-year-old governor of Florida won his state with the largest margin of victory in the previous 40 years. The fact that he defeated his rival by more than 1.5 million votes demonstrates the ardent support that the Harvard and Yale educated guy possesses. Additionally, Ron DeSantis has been gaining support from the Republican Party as a whole, where many are starting to consider him as their best chance to win the presidency again, particularly in light of the sentences imposed on Trump's enterprises.

Numerous members of each politician's party, including 37% of Republicans who don't want Trump to run, 61% of independents, and 88% of Democrats, prefer that their names not appear on the ballot. Along with 66% of independents, 86% of Republicans, and 57% of Democrats, Biden's opponents believe he shouldn't run for government in 2024.

Meanwhile, a recent poll suggests that having Kamala Harris as Joe Biden's running mate hasn't reduced concerns about his age. Less than 1/3 of Americans believe she is capable of being the president, almost half of them think she isn't and 20% feel confused. Out of all the independent people, 57% think Harris is not ready for something while only 21% think she is ready.

Traducción al inglés: Sin duda, Ron DeSantis parece haber ganado las elecciones de mitad de mandato por un amplio margen. El gobernador de Florida, de 44 años, ganó en su estado con el mayor margen de victoria de los últimos 40 años. El hecho de que derrotara a su rival por más de un millón y medio de votos demuestra el ardiente apoyo que posee este hombre educado en Harvard y Yale. Además, Ron DeSantis ha ido ganando el apoyo del Partido Republicano en su conjunto, donde muchos empiezan a considerarlo como su mejor oportunidad para volver a ganar la presidencia, sobre todo a la luz de las condenas impuestas a las empresas de Trump.

Numerosos miembros de cada partido político, entre ellos el 37% de los republicanos que no quieren que Trump se presente, el 61% de los independientes y el 88% de los demócratas, prefieren que su nombre no aparezca en la papeleta. Junto con el 66% de los independientes, el 86% de los republicanos y el 57% de los demócratas, los oponentes de Biden creen que no debería presentarse a las elecciones de 2024.

Mientras tanto, una encuesta reciente sugiere que tener a Kamala Harris como compañera de fórmula de Joe Biden no ha reducido las preocupaciones sobre su edad. Menos de un tercio de los estadounidenses cree que está cualificada para ser presidenta, casi la mitad piensa que no lo está y un 20% está confundido. De todos los independientes, el 57% piensa que Harris no está capacitada para algo, mientras que sólo el 21% piensa que sí lo está.

Even if the current odds appear to be in DeSantis' favor, that doesn't mean that Trumpism won't end abruptly. Many would concur that his legal woes and the dismal mid-term election results have further dented his chances of running for president in 2024. As a result, many experts have suggested that the Donald Trump era is coming to an end. Few political observers, such as Robert Pawlicki, believe otherwise. The deep loyalty, in his opinion, had just begun. The January 6th Congressional Committee serves as an illustration of how it had little to no impact on the 45th president's supporters. His fan base has stayed solid, and he believes that his captivated and conditioned fans will not abandon him anytime soon.

Younger voters will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the elections, and as they tend to lean Democrat, this could work in Joe Biden's advantage as he runs for re-election. We have planned out two conceivable scenarios for the Biden-Trump and Biden-DeSantis runs after interviewing various political experts.

Traducción al inglés:

Aunque las probabilidades actuales parecen estar a favor de DeSantis, eso no significa que el trumpismo no termine abruptamente. Muchos estarían de acuerdo en que sus problemas legales y los pésimos resultados de las elecciones de mitad de mandato han mermado aún más sus posibilidades de presentarse a la presidencia en 2024. Como resultado, muchos expertos han sugerido que la era de Donald Trump está llegando a su fin. Pocos observadores políticos, como Robert Pawlicki, creen lo contrario. La lealtad profunda, en su opinión, no ha hecho más que empezar. El Comité del Congreso del 6 de enero sirve como ilustración de cómo tuvo poco o ningún impacto en los partidarios del 45º presidente. Su base de seguidores se ha mantenido sólida, y él cree que sus cautivados y condicionados seguidores no le abandonarán pronto.

Los votantes más jóvenes tendrán sin duda un impacto significativo en las elecciones, y como tienden a inclinarse por los demócratas, esto podría jugar a favor de Joe Biden en su carrera hacia la reelección. Hemos planeado dos escenarios concebibles para las carreras Biden-Trump y Biden-DeSantis después de entrevistar a varios expertos políticos.

Biden Vs Trump

Biden-DeSantis

In addition to the presidential election in 2024, there will be a Senate election. According to recent reports, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's decision to leave the Democratic Party has altered the Arizona Senate campaign of 2024, which may provide new challenges for Democrats hoping to retain control of the seat in two years. With these unexpected Pandora Boxes, it is still too early to remark on politics, as uncertainty looms ahead. 2024 will undoubtedly be an intriguing year in the political environment. There could be new contenders running for president, resulting in more heated rivalry for votes. Both sides will have to put in a lot of effort in the background.

Traducción al inglés:

Además de las elecciones presidenciales de 2024, habrá elecciones al Senado. Según informes recientes, la decisión de la senadora Kyrsten Sinema de abandonar el Partido Demócrata ha alterado la campaña al Senado por Arizona en 2024, lo que puede plantear nuevos retos a los demócratas que aspiran a mantener el control del escaño dentro de dos años. Con estas inesperadas cajas de Pandora, aún es pronto para hacer comentarios sobre política, ya que la incertidumbre se cierne sobre el futuro. 2024 será sin duda un año intrigante en el entorno político. Podría haber nuevos aspirantes a la presidencia, lo que daría lugar a una rivalidad más acalorada por los votos. Ambos bandos tendrán que esforzarse mucho en un segundo plano.

Written by Malena Lopez.  Follow me at https://malenalopez100.tumblr.com/

Trump slammed BLM and told Liz Cheney she is fired

At a rally in Casper, Wyoming, Trump rips BLM and tells Liz Cheney that she's fired. 

Trump speaking in Casper, Wyoming rally

He said once again that he would never return to Twitter as he had TruthSocial to use instead.

In addition, he floated the idea of a one-day voting with paper ballots. In addition to calling for the restoration of law and order, he calls for the strengthening of borders and measures to ensure election integrity. 

He warned of the possibility of World War III and nuclear war in a grim note. 

Hageman delivering her speech to the audience

Meanwhile, Harriet Hageman, a Wyoming congressional candidate, lashed out at Liz Cheney and condemned a wide range of policies from the green new deal to illegal immigration. Hageman warned Democrats that their policies could "turn the greatest country on earth into a third-world failure" and accused the Jan. 6 commission of "gaslighting" conservatives.

Earlier this week, Cheney announced she will seek re-election saying that Wyoming is an important state and winning this election is essential. In her words, "if we do not stand for truth, civil rights, and the rule of law, if we do not uphold our founding principles, the miracle of our constitutional republic will be lost." "We must prevent that from happening."

 

Cheney was ousted from the GOP House leadership last year because of her opposition to Trump. 

Several recent indications suggest Cheney's chances for re-election are slim. In a poll conducted by the Club for Growth, which is opposed to Cheney, Hageman "won 56 percent of the vote to Cheney's 26 percent."

Ohio has never had a US Senate nominee like JD Vance

Those who really hate the 2022 Ohio Republican Senator candidate really hate him. Like the people of 2016 — J.D. Vance – really, really hate Donald Trump.

A year ago, Vance was a best-selling author of "Hillbilly Elegy," but he was a political novice. He was able to win a 5-way Republican primary May 3 thanks to a former president he used to slam. Middletown graduates are now facing formidable Democratic opponents during the tenth term of U.S. Congressman Tim Ryan in Youngstown, but the November midterm elections look dark to the Democrats, and Vance is Ohio. Supports Trump twice as much as 8 percentage points. Silicon Valley billionaire Peter Thiel and Fox News star Tucker Carlson. Vance's biggest challenge was shattered well over $ 10 million in negative primary ads, which most highlighted criticisms of Trump in the past, but now after winning with only 31% of the votes. Healing the scars and uniting the party. He thinks it will happen. "I think we'll find an easy and a difficult way in November," Vance recently spoke of pancakes and bacon at a Sugar and Spice restaurant near Norwood. "I think most people in Ohio are pretty open-minded. That's all I really need."

Trump and Cruz planned to address the NRA Forum after the shooting in Texas

Trump will address the National Rifle Association (NRA) annual convention in Texas on Friday, shortly after a school shooting in Texas killed 19 children and two teachers.

"America now needs true solutions and true leadership, not politicians or factions," he said. According to the event's website, the three-day tournament is an important event for US gun lobbies and is designed to showcase "the latest weapons and equipment." It will begin three days after an 18-year-old child killed 21 people in an elementary school in Texas. This shooting was the deadliest shooting in a decade at a US school and rekindled the debate over gun law.

Candidate for the Michigan State Capitol, which supports Trump, states that contraception "should not be legal."

A candidate for the Michigan State Capitol, backed by former President Donald Trump, said contraception "must not be legal", without which people are more likely to "practice chastity." Let's go.

Republican Jackie Eubanks, who praised Trump's efforts to "document fraudulent elections," made her opposition to contraception in an interview with right-wing Church Militant, Huffpost first said on Friday reported."I think we need to ask ourselves if this will be voted in the Michigan State Parliament, and if so, we must argue that it shouldn't be illegal," said Eubanks told the founder of Church Militant, Michael Voris. Eubanks, who worked for Trump`s 2020 presidential campaign and named rightwing firebrand Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene as her hero, said people will be "more careful about their actions" if there is "no such thing as consequencefree sex.""I think people would actually be more likely to wait until marriage, to practice chastity, which is incredibly important," she said. "I think that the birth rate of children outside of wedlock would probably go down in that case."Eubanks says the country has an "underpopulation problem," and that could be avoided if the US was "truly a prolife culture."That is why sex ought to be between one man and one woman in the confines of marriage," she said. She then echoed Voris, saying, "And it's open to life." Abortion and gay marriage "lead to a culture of turmoil, destruction, and death," Eubanks added. Wade overturns the groundbreaking Supreme Court proceedings recognizing the constitutional rights of abortion. When that happens, decision-making power is returned to the state, some of which are ready to ban abortion.

Trump could emerge as the winner of the mid-term election

According to a close adviser who spoke under anonymity to discuss confidential strategy for this article, Trump appears to be more active in October than in September by appearing at rallies, making robocalls and possibly conducting tele-town halls and fundraisers. It has been stated by Trump's political team that it wishes to cooperate and assist the campaign, focusing on rural areas where he has strong support. Among the states involved are those in the South and Upper Midwest.

 

Our team consulted several political experts and has drawn the conclusion that the scenario shown below could be an accurate representation of the Trump-Biden race in 2024.

   

It appears that Biden has gained a strong foothold in some states, like Pennsylvania, where we thought he would win. There is a good chance that Biden will also win Michigan. In states like Wisconsin, however, the general sentiment is that it is leaning toward the Republican Party. Arizona remains a crucial battleground in 2024 for both parties. Securing states such as Arizona and Wisconsin will be a huge win for him. For Wisconsin and Arizona, however, the odds seem to be in Trump's favor. In order to secure a successful flip in Arizona, Trump plans to return to the state on 9th October to rally with Kari Lake and Blake Masters until the upcoming midterm elections are over. 

The Republicans could pull off a stunning victory for Oregon's governorship. In comparison with other democratic states, Oregon's democrat sentiment has gradually weakened. The mid-term election will determine whether Democrats have a stronghold in the state. There is no doubt that Trump will hold a rally in that state in order to sway the voters in the Republican's direction.

 

Written by Malena Lopez.  Contact me at malenalopez@gmail.com  or follow me at https://malenalopez100.tumblr.com/

Last updated on 10/12/2022.

Trump faces the biggest test since 2020 in the Georgia primary

Former President Donald Trump is facing what could be his biggest electoral defeat since 2020 as he attempts to settle old scores against fellow Republicans in Georgia. In the marquee race of the day, which includes primaries in Alabama and runoffs in Texas, Trump backed David Perdue is sputtering in his bid to unseat Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, whom the former president is determined to oust for not joining his effort to overturn the state's presidential election results two years ago. Polls leading up to Election Day indicate Kemp had a wide lead over Perdue, a former U.S. senator whose campaign stopped airing TV ads about a month ago. The gap suggests Trump's support alone maybe not enough to carry the day against a well-established incumbent whose only conservative transgression was refusing to get on board with Trump`s meritless fight over the 2020 election, which President Joe Biden won in Georgia. 

NBC News reported last week the former president had washed his hands of Perdue, privately grousing about what he believes is a lackluster campaign effort. Kemp's adviser hopes to clear the 50 percent hurdle that will allow the governor to avoid the final vote against Perdue on June 21st. The final winner in Georgia, where the polling place closes at 7 pm. ET will face Democrat Stacey Abrams in November. This is a recurring fierce battle in 2018 and is expected to be the hottest governor election in the country. Some Republicans have expressed dissatisfaction with Trump's stubborn involvement in the GOP primary. At a big show of rebellion, former Vice President Mike Pence traveled to Georgia to break up with Kemp on the eve of the contest. "I know polls look good, really good," Pence said on Monday night. "But don't slow down, don't slow down.